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Exit Poll 2024 live: Haryana, J&K await early indicators ahead of results

Exit Poll 2024 live: Who will win the battle for Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir? Find out what the pollsters predict.
Exit poll 2024 live: Exit poll predictions for Haryana as well as Jammu and Kashmir elections will aired after 6 pm.
Exit poll 2024 live: Exit poll predictions for Haryana as well as Jammu and Kashmir elections will aired after 6 pm.

Exit Poll 2024 live: In Haryana, the race for control of the 90-member Assembly has been fiercely contested. The state has seen intense campaigning, with the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) aiming for a third consecutive term. After coming to power in 2014 and 2019, the BJP is eyeing a "hat-trick" of victories. Chief minister Nayab Singh Saini, who replaced Manohar Lal Khattar earlier this year, has been at the forefront of the BJP’s campaign. His political fate, along with that of many other prominent leaders, will be sealed in these elections....Read More

The main challenger in the Haryana assembly elections is the Congress. Bhupinder Singh Hooda is hoping to stage a comeback after a decade out of power, even as Congress has avoided declaring a CM face. Hooda, a seasoned politician and former chief minister, is contesting from Garhi Sampla-Kiloi and is banking on anti-incumbency sentiment to propel his party back to power. Wrestling star-turned-politician Vinesh Phogat is another high-profile candidate, representing the Congress in Julana. The Congress has made strategic alliances, leaving the Bhiwani seat to its INDIA bloc partner, the CPI(M), in a bid to strengthen its chances.

The primary contest is expected to be between the BJP and Congress, with regional forces like Jannayak Janta Party (JJP) and Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) hoping to gain enough seats to hold the balance of power in the event of a hung assembly.

Exit poll results will provide an early indication of whether the BJP’s momentum holds or if the Congress can turn the tide in its favour after 10 years in opposition.

Jammu and Kashmir assembly elections

In Jammu and Kashmir, the assembly elections are historic for several reasons. This is the first assembly election since the abrogation of Article 370 in 2019, and for the first time in over seven decades, several communities—West Pakistan Refugees, Valmikis, and Gurkhas—have been granted voting rights. The elections in Jammu and Kashmir were conducted in three phases, with voter turnout registering a remarkable 69.65 per cent in the third and final phase.

Polling in the Jammu region was particularly robust, with districts like Udhampur, Kathua, and Samba recording turnout figures above 70 per cent. In Udhampur, which has four Assembly segments, the turnout was 76.09 per cent, the highest in the final phase. Meanwhile, in Kashmir, districts like Baramulla and Sopore, which have historically been separatist strongholds, saw significantly improved voter participation compared to previous elections.

The results of the Jammu and Kashmir elections will be crucial in determining the political course of the Union Territory. The exit poll results will give an early insight into whether the newly empowered communities have altered the traditional voting patterns or if the existing power structures will remain in place.

Exit poll results

As mandated by the Election Commission, exit poll predictions can be aired only after 6pm today. These exit polls will offer the first look at possible outcomes for both Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir. While exit polls are not always an accurate predictor of final results, they serve as a useful barometer of public sentiment immediately following the election.

Exit polls often set the tone for political discourse in the days leading up to the actual counting of votes. Analysts and political commentators will closely examine trends, especially in key constituencies where prominent leaders are contesting. Will the BJP maintain its grip on Haryana, or will the Congress stage a comeback? Will the first-time voters in Jammu and Kashmir shift the balance of power in the newly constituted Assembly?

Stay with us as we bring you real-time updates, expert analyses, and reactions from across the political spectrum as the exit poll results unfold. With the actual vote counting set for October 8, today's predictions will set the stage for what promises to be a dramatic conclusion to these high-stakes elections.

Follow all the updates here:
Oct 5, 2024 5:46 PM IST

Exit Poll 2024 live: 61 per cent voting recorded in Haryana till 5pm

Exit Poll 2024 live: Haryana recorded 61 per cent voter turnout till 5pm, with Mewat district – which comprises Ferozepur Jhirka, Nuh and Punahana assembly constituencies – witnessing highest polling.

Oct 5, 2024 5:20 PM IST

Exit Poll 2024 live: Who are the CM contenders in Congress?

Exit Poll 2024 live: While the Congress party has not declared its chief ministerial face for Haryana elections, former CM Bhupinder Singh Hooda is seen as the frontrunner. Party MPs Kumari Selja and Randeep Surjewala are seen as probable CM contenders even as they didn't get ticket to contest the election.

Oct 5, 2024 5:16 PM IST

Exit Poll 2024 live: Voting enters its final hour in Haryana

Exit Poll 2024 live: The voting for Haryana assembly elections has entered its final hour as it will conclude at 6pm.

Oct 5, 2024 5:11 PM IST

Exit Poll 2024 live: Which pollsters will release exit poll results?

Exit Poll 2024 live: CVoter exit poll results will be aired by India Today and Aaj Tak while Axis My India will stream its predictions on its YouTube channel.

Oct 5, 2024 4:25 PM IST

Exit Poll 2024 live: Yamunanagar sees highest turnout till 3pm

Exit Poll 2024 live: Yamunanagar district, which comprises Jagadhri, Radaur, Sadhaura and Yamunanagar assembly constituencies, polled nearly 57 per cent votes till 3pm, the highest among 22 districts.

Oct 5, 2024 3:56 PM IST

Exit Poll 2024 live: Union minister says ‘will have to accept’ people's decision

HaryanaExit Poll 2024 live: Union minister Rao Inderjit Singh says, “Today votes are being cast. It all depends on the people and we will have to accept whatever the people decide. Wait till 8th October, everything will be clear.”

Oct 5, 2024 3:47 PM IST

Haryana Exit Polls 2024 live: Over 49% voter turnout till 3pm

Haryana Exit Polls 2024 live: Haryana recorded over 49 per cent voter turnout till 3pm in the ongoing assembly elections.

Oct 5, 2024 3:40 PM IST

J&K Exit Polls 2024 live: Farooq Abdullah says ‘do not believe’ in exit polls

J&K Exit Polls 2024 live: When asked about his expectations from the exit polls, Farooq Abdullah said he has never believed in them.

"The votes are in the boxes. We will know on October 8 what exactly is in and out. Who has got the majority and who has not, so, let us wait till October 8. I do not believe in exit polls. I have never believed in them and I will never," said Abdullah.

Oct 5, 2024 3:39 PM IST

J&K Exit Polls 2024 live: Farooq Abdullah rules out post-poll alliance with BJP

J&K Exit Polls 2024 live: National Conference (NC) president Farooq Abdullah on Saturday reiterated that his party would not enter a post-poll alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) for government formation in Jammu and Kashmir.

“We cannot go with the BJP. The vote we received is a vote against the BJP. They have made life difficult for Muslims, bulldozed their shops, houses, mosques, and schools. Do you think we will align with them?” Abdullah said in a video released by Press Trust of India (PTI).

Oct 5, 2024 3:22 PM IST

Exit Polls 2024 live: What are the limitations of exit poll?

Exit Polls 2024 live: While exit polls can offer an early indication of election results, they are not always 100% accurate. Misleading samples or non-response biases can result in discrepancies between exit poll data and actual election results. Some voters may refuse to share their voting preferences, or may give inaccurate responses, which can skew the results.

Oct 5, 2024 3:19 PM IST

Exit Polls 2024 live: What's the purpose of exit poll?

Exit Polls 2024 live: Exit polls give an early snapshot of who might win an election, often hours or days before the official results are available. They provide insight into the motivations and preferences of different voter groups, revealing trends like how age, gender, or economic status influenced voting.

Oct 5, 2024 3:18 PM IST

Exit Polls 2024 live: What's the method to conduct exit poll?

Exit Polls 2024 live: Pollsters approach a random sample of voters across different polling stations, trying to gather data that represents various demographic groups and regions. Voters are asked questions about their vote choice, but the poll may also include other questions, such as their reasons for voting a certain way, their views on key issues, or their demographic background.

Oct 5, 2024 3:17 PM IST

Exit Polls 2024 live: When are exit polls conducted?

Exit Polls 2024 live: Exit polls are conducted on election day, typically after voters have voted, but before the official counting begins. The results are often released once voting has closed.

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